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MBS RECAP: Solid Afternoon Bounce, But Context Matters

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Solid Afternoon Bounce, But Context Matters There's surely some great analogy to be made about perspective (filed under the "everything's relative" category). Bonds rallied quite nicely today with 10yr yields have their best domestic trading session since before the last Fed announcement. MBS didn't do quite as well, but we wouldn't expect them to given the shape of the yield curve (shorter duration bonds not doing as well as longer-duration bonds). But (wait for it...) everything's relative! 10yr yields at 1.64% are only good news compared to the past 2 days. If you missed those 2 days, then today isn't so much a "nice rally" as a confirmation that rates are at their highest levels since April. Econ Data / Events Fed MBS Buying 10am, 1130am, 1pm...(read more)

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Highest Rates Since April, But There's a Catch

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Over the past 30 days, interest rates have risen sharply . This is true for both mortgage rates and bond market benchmarks like 10yr Treasury yields. But another version of the 10yr Treasury yield continues to operate near all-time lows . How can rates simultaneously be rising quickly but still near all-time lows? Inflation! As we discussed last week, inflation erodes the value of bonds. As such, bond yields frequently move in response to changes in inflation expectations (higher inflation = higher rates). That correlation is easily seen in the following chart: Obviously, something changed in 2020. But what changed specifically for bonds and inflation? For starters, the Federal Reserve immediately began buying massive amounts of bonds shortly after the pandemic began. This acted to keep yields...(read more)

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Delinquencies Continue to Decline but Forbearances Still a Concern

Posted To: MND NewsWire

The national delinquency rate has fallen below 4.0 percent for the first time since COVID-19 started messing up the world. Black Knight, in its "first look" at September's mortgage performance data, says the rate in September, 3.91 percent, represents a reduction of more than 41 percent from September of 2020 and is 2.25 percent below the August level. Delinquencies have moved lower in 14 of the last 17 months. There were 2.068 million loans that were 30 or more days past due in September, not including loans in foreclosure. This is down 54,000 from the prior month and 1.474 million fewer past due loans than the prior September. Black Knight says there would have been fewer delinquencies in September if not for Hurricane Ida which hit Louisiana especially hard. There was an increase of 7,800...(read more)

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mortgage, refinance mortgage, home mortgage, mortgage calculator
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This is Money | Mortgages & homes Thu, 23 Jun 2011 23:22:24 GMT  

Fixed rate mortgage cuts tempt borrowers
Homeowners have more cheap mortgages to choose from as two-year fixes fall back to below 3% and the best five-year fixes sneak under 4% monopoly houses and a key
Estate agents sell just one home a week
Estate agents are selling an average of one property a week as the housing slump worsens, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said today A woman looking at an estate agent's window
House prices: What next?
We analyse house price news and predictions and investigate what is next for the UK property market House and money

Sat, 21 Jul 2018 11:40:39 GMT  


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