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The latest mortgage news, from the most reliable sources, all in one place.
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Mon, 23 Apr 2018 22:44:30 GMT |
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MBS RECAP: Bonds Show Up, Break Stuff, And Then Just Walk Away |
Posted To: MBS Commentary Have you ever seen someone randomly do something fairly awful/hurtful/aggressive, offer no explanation or apology, and then just leave the scene? That was essentially what bond markets did today. Friday's already unpleasant weakness was forcibly extended , bringing yields to the highest levels in more than 4 years during the overnight session (a feat that was nearly repeated during domestic hours). There were no new developments in the bond market world to justify such a turn of events. Still, it shouldn't come as much of a surprise if you've been reading this commentary. After all, last week was all about the "defeat of the friendly Springtime consolidation in rates." That defeat paved the way for the bigger-picture, longer-term selling trend to get back underway. Bottom...(read more) |
NOW Mortgage Rates Are at 4-Year Highs |
Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch Mortgage rates moved markedly higher today, officially leaving them at new 4-year highs. The only other time they've earned that distinction this year was in February--NOT last week as all the major surveys claimed. To be clear, they were certainly close last week, but the surveys didn't account for some of the worst individual days in February. Does any of this really matter? No, not so much. Here's what matters: The average lender is quoting very well-qualified borrowers with huge downpayments something north of 4.5% on conventional 30yr fixed mortgages today. Let's call it 4.625%. Up until Friday, that number hadn't been over 4.5% except for on a few of those ill-fated February days. Also important is the message that such a move sends. Simply put, the bond market (which underlies rates...(read more) |
Freddie Mac Forecast: Lots of "Ifs" and "Buts" |
Posted To: MND NewsWire Freddie Mac's economists say, "The broader economic environment remains favorable for home sales," but they add a lot of caveats to that statement . Sales are holding up so far, despite the increase in mortgage rates, but will that continue? Sales started recovering in 2010, with the aggregate of new and existing sales growing annually except for 2014; largely because rates rose that year. Rates are not necessarily the only driver, however, from 2016 to 2017 home sales rose along with rates. Of course, sales depend on the interaction between demand- and supply-side factors. Demand factors include demographics, labor market outcomes, and financing conditions including rates and the availability of credit. Among supply factors are the construction of new homes, vacancy rates, and the inventory...(read more) |
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